The 2022 Pretoria peace agreement was designed to conclude the brutal two-year conflict in Ethiopia’s Tigray region. While the deal effectively halted large-scale military operations, the aftermath has been characterized by persistent friction regarding the implementation of the agreement's terms.

Central to the current instability are unresolved disputes over contested territories and the pace of political normalization. Observers note that while the cessation of hostilities remains in place, the lack of a comprehensive resolution to these core issues has left the TPLF in a position to reorganize. This has led to a climate where former adversaries are once again navigating rising tensions rather than achieving full reconciliation. The situation remains fragile as both the federal government and regional actors struggle to move beyond the immediate post-war framework toward a sustainable long-term peace.